Methods for modelling excess mortality across England during the COVID-19 pandemic

Excess mortality is an important measure of the scale of the coronavirus-2019 pandemic. It includes both deaths caused directly by the pandemic, and deaths caused by the unintended consequences of containment such as delays to accessing care or postponements of healthcare provision in the population. In 2020 and 2021, in England, multiple groups have produced measures of excess mortality during the pandemic.

Citation:
Barnard S, Chiavenna C, Fox S, Charlett A, Waller Z, Andrews N, et al. Methods for modelling excess mortality across England during the COVID-19 pandemic. Stat Methods Med Res. 2021.

Keywords:
All cause mortality; coronavirus; COVID-19; excess deaths

Abstract:
Excess mortality is an important measure of the scale of the coronavirus-2019 pandemic. It includes both deaths caused directly by the pandemic, and deaths caused by the unintended consequences of containment such as delays to accessing care or postponements of healthcare provision in the population. In 2020 and 2021, in England, multiple groups have produced measures of excess mortality during the pandemic.